More often than not, these punters don't study form and so find more creative ways of choosing a horse to back such as, favourite number, the jockey that's riding the horse, the jockey's colours, the favourite etc? But if you have a serious lack of knowledge and don't know your Red Rum from Red Bull can you find a better way to bet on the Grand National and still win?
The answer, of course, is yes. You can always opt to back one of the Grand National Specials and given that some are so general you really do have a good chance of winning.
Paddy Power currently have a number of specials on offer so if we look at each of them in turn we should be able to decide on the one that's most likely to earn you a good return on your money.
The first is 'Winner to be trained in Ireland'. This is currently at 2/1 and is low because of the very likelihood of it coming to fruition. In the last 10 years, six of the Grand National winners have been trained in Ireland and they are Bobbyjo (1999), Papillon (2000), Monty's Pass (2003), Hedgehunter (2005), Numbersixvalverde (2006) and Silverbirch (2007).
This is a good bet because although there are a large number of Irish horses in the race, they are not necessarily 'trained' in Ireland and with the recent surge in Irish winners it could be a good one to cover all bases.
The second special is 'Ruby Walsh to ride the winner' at 12/1. Of course, right now we don't even know which horse he will riding so it's difficult to know if the 12/1 bet is a good one or not. He last won the race in 2005 on Hedgehunter and before that in 2000 on Papillion ? will it be third time a charm for Ruby? Only one other jockey has won the Grand National three rimes since 1960 and that was Brian Fletcher in 1968 on Red Alligator and again in 1973 and 1974 on Red Rum.
The third special is 'Any Horse to Win at Cheltenham & Win the National' at 20/1 which, as a bet, may not last very long unless a Grand National actually wins at Cheltenham. It's unlikely and even at 20/1 it's not a great bet because the odds of achieving something as historic as a double Cheltenham and National win should be much higher.
The fourth special that we are looking at is 'All runners to clear the 1st safely' at 5/1. Last year all of the horses did clear the first fence so it would have been a very good bet. Unfortunately, this was more the exception than the rule but the caliber of horses running this year is very good and should have no problems clearing the first fence and at 5/1, I would think that it was worth a fiver.
The fifth and final special that we are looking at today is 'JP McManus Owned Winner' at 8/1. For these odds to be mathematically sound, excluding the caliber of his horses, he would need to have a minimum of five horses line up at the starting line. He currently has seven in contention; King Johns Castle, Butlers Cabin, Hobbs Hill, Reveillez, L'Ami, Can't Buy Time, Garde Champetre but we still don't know if all of them will start the race. JP McManus has never had a Grand National winner and at 8/1 he may even be betting on himself this year!
Grand National Specials are a great way of getting more value for your money so rather than backing one horse, you could actually be backing seven if you put a few quid on JP McManus to own the winner. If you back an Irish trained horse to win then you could be backing any of the 35 Irish-trained horses currently on the runners list. The odds may not be incredibly high but you do have a greater chance of winning.
The 2009 Grand National
The 2009 Grand national promises to be even more wide open than usual with no fewer than ten horses vying for favouritism. Bookmakers are reporting widespread race betting but with no particular horse being emphatically backed.
The leading contenders thus far are:
11-1 My Will ? Trained by champion trainer, Paul Nicholls and likely to be ridden by dual Grand National winning jockey, Ruby Walsh, My will has eased into favouritism for the race. His current odds of 11-1 have shortened since his excellent fifth in the Cheltenham Gold Cup behind Kauto Star. In that race he certainly proved that he has the class and the jumping ability to win a Grand National.
12-1 Butlers Cabin ? A faller at Bechers Brook in 2008 when running really well, this nine year old is reported to be back to his best form that he showed in 2007, when he won the 4 mile National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham and followed that up with an outstanding victory in the Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse. He is trained by Jonjo O'Neill and is likely to be partnered by champion jockey, Tony McCoy.
12-1 Black Apalachi ? Winner of the Bechers Chase at Aintree this season, Black Apalachi is said to be thriving at home and will be at his best come the big race on April 4th. Trainer, Dessie Hughes is very happy with his horse and believes that he ius still improving. His win this season in the Bobby Jo Chase, was confirmation that he is up there with the best. He had both Snowwy Morning and Southern Vic behind him on that day. They are both leading Grand National contenders this year.
14-1 Character Building ? Trained by John Quinn, Character building was the excellent winner of the Kim Muir Chase at the 2009 Cheltenham Festival, proving that he has all the right ingredients to be a real Grand National contender. His only problem has been consistency, he runs well one day and fails to turn up the next. Nonetheless, he is an excellent jumper and has plenty of staying ability for a race like this.
16-1 Big Fella Thanks ? This is the second horse trained by Paul Nicholls who features prominently in the betting. Winner of the Grade One, Sky Bet Chase which followed some very respectable performances in Novice chases, Big Fella Thanks appears to have a bright future. However he is only a seven year old and may not have sufficient experience for such a gruelling race like the Grand National.
18-1 Rambling Minster ? At 11 yars old this Keith Reveley trained gelding may be just past his sell by date, however there is plenty of confidence in him following two outstanding wins at Cheltenham on New Years day and then the Blue Square Gold Cup at Haydock. Reveley seems to have him spot on for Aintree and his victory on soft ground in the Scottish Borders National over 4 miles proves conclusively that he will get the Aintree trip.
Both Gen Wright & Johnny Feltcher are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
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