Forex Price Movement - Simple Equation To Succeed

By: Kelly Price

Forex price movement - how and why exactly do prices move? Simple enough you might think but most traders have no idea about how and why prices really move if they did 95% of forex traders wouldn't lose! Let's look at a simple equation for market movement.

Here it is but its simplicity is deceptive...

Supply and Demand Fundamentals/ News + Investor Perception = Market Price

Now here are some mistakes traders make by not fully understanding the above - If you believe any of the following, you can say goodbye to your equity.

-You can day trade and win

-Markets move to a scientific theory

-Market tops and bottoms can be predicted in advance

-Buy low sell high is a good way to trade

-You rely on trading expert news stories

-You try and trade the fundamentals

ALL the above will see you lose - let's look at why:

Firstly, trading is an odds game, as humans are illogical and millions make the price.

Their all governed by emotions - you cannot hope to predict what they will do and furthermore - you can't do so in short time frames and that's why day traders lose.

Trading the fundamentals is not possible because they are unimportant - its how their perceived that determines the course of events and the price.

So how do you win?

As a forex trader forget about predicting its simply hoping or guessing there is no scientific theory of market movement - if there were, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market. Forget vendors who tell you they can predict if they could they would be rich and wouldn't need your money!

Trading is an odds game but that doesn't mean you can't win you can.

The easiest way to trade is to use forex charts and simply follow forex price action, trading the reality of price change - no hoping or guessing, just trading the facts.

Fundamental news is discounted instantly in the price and you will see that on the charts - but you will see something more, how investors perceive the fundamentals and that's the beauty of forex charts.

You see the whole picture as it is, no hoping or guessing just the reality, as it is.

Now human psychology may not be wholly predictable - but human nature is constant and this will show in repetitive high odds chart patterns which occur again and again.

If you spot and act upon them you can make money.

So when looking at forex price movement remember, it is not the fundamentals that are important or the news - but how investors as a whole perceive the news.

If you understand the above, you will see why simply following charts and acting on the reality of price change can make you money.

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