Top colege football picks for the weekend of sept 17th

By: John Onan

Top Play: Tenn/Flroida UNDER 49

OK, looks like the number has crested at 49, and is beginning todrop, I'm jumping on the under 49 as my Top Play

In my opinion, this number is simply too high with 2 very gooddefenses, along with Tennessee's QB issues, and the fact that Ibelieve life could be hard for Florida QB Leak with an unprovenO-Line in front of him.

Gameplans

Tennessee's gameplan is the key to this total, a steady diet ofRB Riggs on offense. I expect Fulmer to pound it, pound it,pound it with Riggs and pass when need be, or at opprotune times.

Defensively, I expect the Vols D-line is be able to put pressureon Leak without having to send the house, similar to what theywere able to do two years ago. Florida coach Meyer understandsthat his Gators must be able to establish some sort of runninggame, to open it up for Leak. And I'm not convinced they can runit with any sort of effectiveness against this stout Vols frontseven.

The word on Florida's D

On defense, Florida's guys have been impressive, albeit againstinferior offenses. Luckily for their unproven secondary,Tennessee's QB situation is a little bit of a question mark. AsI stated earlier, they can expect to see a whole lot of GeraldRiggs in this big rivalry game.

Top Play: UF/UT UNDER 49

Regular Play: Wisconsin -3 over UNC This game would be a biggerplay if this were at Wisconsin, but I will tread a littlelighter with the Badgers hitting the road for the first timethis season.

Looks like the linesmakers are giving the Tar Heels credit foralmost upsetting G Tech on the road last week, but I won't TheJackets beat Auburn in a huge win on the road a week before, andI really question their motivation for this one, even though itwas their conference opener. Chan Gailey's play calling in thefourth quarter also left a lot to be desired. I have noexplanation as to why he didn't keep feeding the ball to P.J.Daniels.

Well, Barry Alvarez WILL feed the ball to his top runners,Calhoun and Booker, and do it often. Stocco looks like he'simproved tremendously, even though the opposing secondaries he'sfaced thus far have left a lot to be desired.

NC has been outgained tremendously in thier first two games, butI will give coach Bunting credit for playing a tough BostonCollege team to open up.

Key matchup: Wiscy D-Line vs. UNC O-line

This is where the game could be decided, as UNC is stillshuffling to get the right combonation along the offensive line,which means they'll struggle to run the ball, and will have totake advantage of the Badgers secondary.

Wisconsin's secondary has been a point of criticism, but theyloked much better in the 2nd half of the Bowling Green game, andUNC QB Baker is hardly in the league of Omar Jacobs. When G Techgot down to business on D vs. UNC, they intercepted Baker 3times in the 4th quarter.

He can't win this game with his arm. I believe the Badgers Dwill force Baker to make some bad decisions on Saturday.

Offensively, with Stocoo improving thanks to the blocking of theoffensive line and the strong running game, Wiscy should onceagain put up some big numbers vs. this below average Tar Heelsdefense. The longer the game goes, the more they will wear themout.

Regular play: Wisconsin -3

Small play: Notre Dame -6 1/2 over Mich State

I know many are wary of a big let down after the roadvictiories, especially the upset win over Michigan at Ann Arbor,but I feel they'll be energized to be coming back to South Bendfor the home opener. Paticularly, since the foe they are facing,Michigan State, are playing thier first road game after two easyhome tuneups.

This will be the Spartans first real test, and it's not a goodspot, in my opinion. This is a HUGE step up in competition onboth sides of the ball, and they could get shellshocked early,as ND has opened up strong in both of their first two games.

Spartans QB Stanton looks improved, and is a great athlete, butif his team is playing from behind all day, he could become theinconsistent guy we saw in 2004.

Notre Dame is tons more physical than anything Michigan Statehas seen thus far, and if they get smacked in the mouth a coupletimes, they may not recover. ND goes to 3-0 after this one.

Small play: Notre Dame -6 1/

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