Forex Trading Systems Can Lose

By: Martin Bottomley

Show me a forex trader who never loses and I will show you a forex trader that never makes any trades.

Many new traders are afraid to make a losing trade, but like it or not, losing is a part of trading.
If you learn to employ a strict system of money management, together with a trading method that in general gives you more wins than losses and bigger profits than losses on those wins then you will be able to smile at your losses, because you will know that over time, you will still be profitable.

The reality of trading is of course a mixture of both wins and losses with success being dictated by the ratio of those wins and losses, and it is a complicated ratio. I often see it defined as "you must aim for a win to loss ratio of at least 2:1". Well that's nice work if you can get it. The markets rarely allow us the luxury of employing anything as straight forward as that.

The real ratio in most cases is to be able - in general - to make more wins than losses and for those wins to be greater in value then the losses.

Yes it would be nice to only enter those trades that will definitely give us at least a 2:1 winning ratio but I have yet to hear of any trader that can consistently do this. The market just does not operate in that certain way. Because of this, a vital part of any trading method must include money management.

By employing a well developed strategy of money management, it helps to even out the wins and losses thereby allowing you to easily accept the losses that will most certainly be coming your way.

If each time that you trade, your very survival depends upon a win, then you will not like the prospect of a losing trade, but rest assured that sooner or later - and likely sooner - you will get one whether you like it or not.

Many new traders look for, or try to develop, strategies that rarely if ever lose. This is a fruitless exercise. One of the things that has to be accepted by traders is that no matter how successful the method that you follow, there will still be losing trades.

As an example, you may have a system that has a win to loss ratio of 4:1 (which would be extremely unusual). This means that you will lose 20% of the time, or in other words, of the next 100 trades that you make, 20 will lose and 80 will win.

You wins and losses are a percentage and this percentace is somewhat random in order. If you were unfortunate, you could find that the next 20 trades that you execute all lose. When trading too large a portion of your account it is only too easy to lose all of your money on a "losing streak" so that you never get to the "winning Streak".

It is unusual to have long runs of losses with a good trading system, but it can happen and yet still maintain the same win to loss ratio. If you learn to employ a strict system of money management, together with a trading method that in general gives you more wins than losses and bigger profits than losses on those wins then you will be able to smile at your losses, because you will know that over time, you will still be profitable.

Being able to smile at your losses in the same way that you are able to smile at your profitable trades is an essential emotional qualility, and it is one that can only be developed by employing strict money management.

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