Silver is a commodity that is attractive to many investors because of its unique qualities. It is much like gold and some other commodities because private investors can actually take delivery. However, it is unlike gold in two respects. One, the price of silver is feasible and within reach. Two, physical storage can be obtained without much of a problem and security can be simplified. Often a bank safe deposit box is sufficient.
The ability to take delivery of a commodity increases the choices in trading strategies. There is room for hedging by using a combination of spot and futures contract trades. Pure spot trading with local merchants is also more of a possibility. Spot trading is a term that means the buying and selling of the actual commodity. This is different from the trading of futures contracts because the delivery of the commodity is generally rare.
Silver also has the advantage of bearing a relatively low price per ounce. For many years, silver has traded for anywhere from $5 to $15. These lower prices make silver easier to acquire and more accessible to the average investor. Investors can obtain quantities that are large enough to show desirable returns due to this low amount.
For someone who is accustomed to trading stocks on a regular basis and who may have reached the occasional astronomically high returns, this may not sound like such a great deal. However, when inflation is factored in, even the high return stock prices may not look so appealing. Silver is much like gold in that is provides an accurate measure of real market prices.
The Commodity Exchange of New York (COMEX), a division of the New York Mercantile Exchange and in other exchanges, the standard contract size for futures in silver is 5,000 troy ounces. To put this in perspective, a troy ounce is 1.1 times the common avoirdupois ounce that is commonly used in standard measurements like cooking and packaging.
The minimum price fluctuation, known as a tick, is $0.005 per troy ounce. One tick that is the minimum of 5,000 troy ounces, is worth $25. When compared to mainstream stock prices that range from $0.10 to $0.20 per share, it presents a drastically different landscape. However when those same shares are multiplied one hundred fold to represent 100 shares, it brings the investment into a more "typical" range. While some are larger and some are smaller, this does, indeed, represent a normal amount in commodities trading.
A standard price quote may appear as:
Contract Date Last Change Open High
Jun '06 (SIM06) 1014.8 -3.7 1013.8 1014.8
Low Date/Time
1012.8 12:29
To break down the price quote, the contract date indicates the contract's month and year. The precise date is set by the exchange. The characters that are in parentheses represent a standard abbreviation for a futures contract. The abbreviation "SI" is silver, "M" represents the month of June and 06 indicates the year of 2006. The other figures show familiar price quote columns.
The prices of the silver are broken down to cents per troy ounce. This means that 1014.8 is the equivalent of $10.148 per ounce. This means that one contract that is $10 per ounce for 5,000 ounces bears an investment value of $50,000. This may be a little steep for the casual or average investor. This is one of the primary reasons that futures and options that allow investments of approximately 5% of that amount are so popular.
One drawback to silver investments is that the prices, like nearly any other commodity, are volatile. May 2006 saw some rather significant fluctuations, peaking at more than $15 per ounce, the dropping back to $10 per ounce. Bottom line, though, with any type of trading, the absolute price is not what is important. In fact, it is not even the trend alone that has magnitude in the market. The profits on investments are measured by the difference between the buying price and the selling price. This is what makes timing so crucial.
Commodity Future Trading Trading
Uranium offers traders a little bit of walking on the wild side. It is a volatile commodity, but worth the risk if you can afford it. A few years ago, Uranium prices exploded, then dropped to $29 just as quickly, then it skyrocketed back up, hitting $45. This volatility makes oil prices look like a walk in the park, but in recent years, uranium prices have been on a steady rise.
Uranium has many natural advantages over oil or other energy sources. Fuel that is produced from uranium lasts for decades and can be recycled in the form of plutonium which extends it life for even more decades. This, however, can present a problem because of its extensive life, disposing of uranium is a political caveat.
Nuclear power supersedes oil and chemical refineries in safety. The safety record of nuclear power far exceeds other large scale energy generation technologies. Oil and chemical refineries can and have exploded due to human error, accident and incompetence. Regulations and controls regarding the use of nuclear fuel are much more stringent and adherence is more strongly enforced that with conventional fuels.
Nuclear power is a politically charged, controversial topic. One camp has it labeled as dangerous and even evil. The other camp, though, purports that nuclear power safely generates 16% of the world's electricity. Countries such as France and Japan have relied heavily on nuclear power for many years and neither country holds any regrets for electing to use it as their major power source. 78% of France's electricity comes from nuclear power and, most notably, has never experienced a serious incident.
Asia is experiencing exponential growth in the area of power plants being built, but this is also occurring worldwide. China is working on an $8 billion contract to build four new plants and will be constructing 27 by the year 2020. India plans to build 17 plants by the world 2012 which will triple their existing capacity. Russia has reduced its exports so that it can retain fuel for the 25 new plants that are planned by 2020.
The majority of these plants have yet to secure a long term supply which indicates that they will have to pay market prices as they near completion.
There even seems to be some changes for the United States on the political horizon a one time adversaries are finding common ground and passing the peace pipe, so to speak. Environmentalists are beginning to see the light and grasp the concept that nuclear power offers one of the best alternatives to continued fossil fuel use, particularly as concerns over global warming increase. Also, as oil prices continue to rise, the political powers that be seem to be swaying more in favor of nuclear power.
While demand continues to rise, supplies remain tight. Commercial stockpiles fell 50% from 1985 to 2003 and mining remains expensive and difficult.
The Australian mining company, Cameco, is one of the largest uranium suppliers in the world. It plans to expand its production by 18$ in Canada's MacArthur River mine which is currently the largest in the world.
Although supplies are not expected to expand enough to rise to the growing demand to a point that would suppress the price, it is still a viable option. Several analysts expect that supplies will remain tight over the next decade. This will result in a rise of prices to a level that has not been seen since their peaks in the 1970s. These prices are expected to remain high for quite some time.
Demand runs annually at about 170 million pounds while the supply is roughly 75 million pounds a year. The deficit is made up by supplies that are stockpiled from the 1970s, the dismantling of Russian nuclear warheads and other sources. That supply, however, is dwindling.
Fuel costs are relatively small expenditures for power plants, but fuel it vital to their operation. Because there is no substitute, they can not afford to run out.
These various factors are exceptionally appealing to metals traders who may be interested in uranium. Unlike other metals, uranium does not trade on the open market. Contracts are made privately. However, investors who are interested can purchase mining stocks, futures contracts, options and other securities just like any other investment. A broker can provide advice and direction on this trading maneuver.
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