During the Great Housing Bubble, many speculators tried to make money through trading houses. The vast majority of these traders were not professionals but amateurs who thought they could be professionals. Most amateurs ended up losing money because they did not understand what it takes to be successful in a speculative market.
The first and most obvious difference in the investment strategy between professional traders and the amateurs in the general public is their holding time. Traders buy with the intent to sell for a profit at a later date. Traders know why they are entering a trade, and they have a well thought out exit strategy. The general public adopts a "buy and hold" mentality where assets are accumulated with a supposed eye to the long term. Everyone wants to be the next Warren Buffet. In reality this buy-and-hold strategy is often a "buy and hope" strategy, a greed-induced, emotional purchase without proper analysis or any exit plan. Since they have no exit strategy, and since they are ruled by their emotions, they will end up selling only when the pain of loss compels them to. In short, it is an investment method guaranteed to be a disaster.
There is evidence that houses were used as a speculative commodity during the Great Housing Bubble. Since the cost of ownership greatly exceeded the cashflow from the property if used as a rental, the property was not purchased for positive cashflow, and by definition, it was a speculative purchase. Confirming evidence for speculative activity comes from the unusual and significant increase in vacant houses in the residential real estate market.
If markets had not been gripped by speculative fervor, vacancy rates would not have risen so far above historic norms. If houses had been purchased for investment purposes to make money from rental income, the houses would have been occupied after purchase and vacancy rates would not have gone up. A rise in vacancy rates would have resulted in downward pressure on rents, and the investment opportunity, if it had existed initially (which it did not), would have disappeared with the declining rent. There is only one reasonable explanation for increasing house prices and increasing rents during a period when house vacancy rates increased 64%: people were purchasing houses for speculative gains and leaving them unoccupied while the owners waited for prices to rise.
Speculators became more and more active in the housing market from 2004 onward. When the credit crunch gripped the markets in August of 2007, prices began to drop quickly. Most markets fell below 2004 price levels by late 2008, and almost all speculators still holding on to properties were underwater and facing either a big loss or foreclosure.
Flip That House Tlc
I love those TV rehabbing shows like Flip That House. On the show people buy a house needing to be seriously updated and repaired. Usually the kitchen is heavily upgraded with new cabinets, cutting edge appliances, new countertops and more. The bathrooms are completely redone with new tile, tubs, showers, sinks and more. The living rooms and other areas usually have walls taken out to open up the floor plan and usually carpet is replaced with some type of hardwood flooring. It's realistic to do what they show in a high dollar housing market like California to make the huge profits they usually get on that show. In a lower priced market like Memphis, TN rehabbers are looking to make $20-30,000 per house minimum. In California and on that show they are looking for $50,000-150,000 per house. That's because homes are so much more expensive in California where the show is produced.
In a market like Memphis many of the same upgrades are done but maybe skipping the granite countertops and some other high end upgrades. In any market you are going to repaint and redo the floors. The areas to spend the most money to upgrade are the kitchen and the bathrooms. A great value add that sometimes adds tremendously to the value of the home is if you can add a 2nd bathroom to a home with only one bathroom. While this will probably cost in the $10,000 range to do, it could increase the value of the home by $20,000-40,000 and significantly add to your profit potential.
To do deals like this you need to go through several steps. First of all you have to get set up with a hard money lender as you cannot get a normal mortgage on a house in disrepair. You need to see what homes are listed for in your area and figure that when you fix it up you want it to be nicer and cheaper than all other equivalent homes on the market for that neighborhood. Working backwards from the price you could sell at to undercut the market, take out the repair costs and pad it by at least 50% for unforeseen costs(always there) and then subtract your expected profit and holding costs(interest), realtor fees(if you use), advertising and more. If you can still make at least $20k it should be worth doing.
Managing your contractors is a very important part of this whole process. Ask other investors who they know and trust to come in and do your work. Require the work to be done on time and put penalties in the contract for late completion. Don't pay for the work up front, but agree to pay them a part like 25% as each 25% of the work is completed.
One thing important to understand about these types of deals is that they aren't super quick money. Typically the work will take a couple of months and then it will usually take a month or two to find a buyer. Hard money lenders typically loan money for 6 months as this time frame usually is sufficient to sell the fixed up home.
Homes like these may be homes the sellers can't afford to fix up or simply don't want to fix. In real estate listings these may say things like handyman special. Foreclosure homes and bank real estate owned(REO) listings are generally good candidates. Mailing to out of state landlords can produce some homes that are good as rental homes typically need updating as they aren't set up to sell retail.
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Alex Gwen Thomson has sinced written about articles on various topics from Home Management, Income Tax Return and Wrinkles. Lawrence Roberts is the author of The Great Housing Bubble: Why Did House Prices Fall?Learn more and get FREE eBooks at:. Alex Gwen Thomson's top article generates over 673000 views. Bookmark Alex Gwen Thomson to your Favourites.