We wrote about Kilgore Minerals this past winter, because it holds prospective U.S. uranium properties. While studying the company, it became evident the company's uranium would take a backseat to the company's gold property in southern Idaho. We reviewed Robert Bishop's commentary in his self-published Gold Mining Stock Report. Mr. Bishop is highly regarded as an astute junior gold stock picker, and his analysis is quite thorough. There is little doubt Bishop holds high esteem for Kilgore Minerals' Chief Executive Norman Burmeister.
More importantly, the very successful Pinetree Capital (Toronto: PNP) has made a significant investment in Kilgore. Respectively, the Chief Executive and CFO, Sheldon Inwentash and Larry Goldberg, of both Pinetree Capital and heavily touted Mega Uranium (TSX: MGA), have personally invested in Kilgore Minerals. A recent Forbes magazine article took a swipe at both Mega Uranium and Pinetree Capital. Actually, it was more of a head butt. Pinetree Capital is back to trading above C$17/share, up from a year ago when it traded for less than $3/share. So the Forbes article was a non-event for Pinetree Capital. And their holdings in Kilgore Minerals, which reportedly are estimated at between 10 and 20 percent of the company, were passed by without notice.
Property History
Kilgore's Idaho gold property has been explored since the 1930's, when a gold discovery was made by the Blue Ledge Co. Nearly 50 claims were staked in 1982 and leased to a Kennecott subsidiary in the mid 1980s. Seven holes were drilled. By 1990, Placer Dome acquired the property and drilled 39 holes, more than 21,000 feet of drilling. A Pegasus joint venture drilled another 23 holes, nearly 10,000 feet of drilling, by 1994. Echo Bay earned majority interest in the property, by 1996, after having spent $3.5 million drilling 122 holes for more than 82,000 feet. In 1997, with the falling price of gold and troubles in the mining sector brought on by the Indonesia stock fraud, Bre-X Minerals, Echo Bay dropped its exploration ambitions on Kilgore - and shelved all of its exploration projects. In 1998, Latitude Minerals continued a modest exploration of a little more than 4,000 feet.
Near the bottom of the gold bear market, Kilgore Gold (a wholly owned subsidiary of Kilgore Minerals) acquired 100 percent ownership of the property. A new round of preliminary exploration identified new gold targets. By 2004, Kilgore Gold expanded the company's property holdings to 3,000 acres. Has this property been drilled like Swiss cheese or does Norman Burmeister know what he is doing? It's had nearly 200 diamond and reverse circulation drill holes, totaling more than 126,000 feet of drilling.
In an earlier interview with Burmeister, he told us, "I'm very excited about this project. It was a property that was very high on Echo Bay's list." Major companies have expended more than $8 million to define a modest, and possibly economic, resource. At least three different entities have established resource estimates on the Kilgore gold property. In 1996, Placer Dome reported 14.1 million tons, grading 0.04 ounces/ton and with a cut-off grade of 0.015, for a deposit of 561,000 ounces of gold. A year later, Echo Bay released a sectional estimate report showing 18.7 million tons, grading 0.029, for a total of 534,959 ounces of gold.
However, the only resource estimate approved by Canadian regulators (Kilgore trades on the Toronto Venture Exchange) is the Van Brunt/Rayner Technical Report, filed in October 2002, and which is compliant with National Instrument 43-101 (NI 43-101). This report showed about 7 million tons trading 0.031, with a 0.01 cut-off grade, for an indicated resource of 218,000 ounces of gold. The report showed an inferred resource, adding another 269,000 ounces of gold. This is close enough to the Placer Dome and Echo Bay estimates, but it is unlikely to be mineable unless Kilgore finds more gold.
During the 2004 drilling program, Norm Burmeister got the sniff of what might make this an attractive acquisition by a major gold company. "We are looking for a high grade feeder system," Burmeister told us. In the previous drilling program, Burmeister got and encouraging intercept of 0.465 ounce per ton gold over 10 feet within a broader 170-foot zone of low-grade mineralization at 0.04 ounces per ton. On Tuesday, Kilgore Gold made its announcement it would commence its chase to find out if, indeed, there is an elephant discovery of gold on its property.
In an email to us, Norm Burmeister wrote, "The high-grade zone, called the "Elsa Zone", was intersected at a core depth of 410 feet. It is important to note that this hole was drilled in an area that had never been drilled some 4650 feet from the resource area." The Elsa Zone is located within the Dog Bone Ridge target area. Burmeister also pointed out, "There are no known workings in the area, and there is no known gold mineralization at the surface, thus making the Elsa Zone a true 'blind discovery.' Kilgore's blind discovery in the Elsa Zone proves there may be some prospects in the very large Dog Bone Ridge target area.
Rationale
The purpose of the 2006 drilling program, Burmeister told us, is to determine "the true potential of the Dog Bone Ridge area target." Niel Prenn, a professional engineer with Mine Development Associates of Reno, Nevada, completed a scoping level update of Echo Bay's 1996 assessment of the project. He wrote, "The project appears to have reasonably attractive economics if the 'potentially mineable material' can be doubled at $375/ounce gold price." Prenn saw the Kilgore project as one with a "large epithermal gold deposit." This confirmed an earlier geological report by Stanton W. Caddey, who wrote in an October 2003 report, "Exploration potential at the Kilgore property for more than doubling the present gold resource with further exploration drilling is regarded as excellent."
The encouraging drill hole in 2004 helped move this project to the current drilling program. "We believe the Dog Bone Ridge target area represents the core of the hydrothermal system that has generated the known low grade resource at Kilgore," Burmeister speculated. That's why he is drilling the Dog Bone Ridge target area. The first holes will be offsets to the promising 2004 discovery hole. "We don't know the direction or dipping," said Burmeister, asking "Which way does it go?" The first hole will help Burmeister orient the direction on the north side of the target. Burmeister told us, "The knowledge we hope to gain from the Elsa Zone offsets will be important in efficiently testing other Elsa 'look-a-like' definitive targets within the Dog Bone Ridge target area."
Expectations
A drill campaign tends to intensify expectations. Share prices tend to rally higher, depending upon market conditions, during a drill campaign. The company hopes to drill about twelve holes, down between 500 and 800 feet, in the target area. The first hole may be encouraging, but the results from that hole function as an identifier for where to place the next drill hole. "The best target has never been touched," said Burmeister, referring to the north side of the Dog Bone Ridge. As with many promising properties, they don't always offer the easiest access. In this case, Burmeister's expectant target on the north side of Dog Bone Ridge might only be accessed by helicopter, if that's where he has to drill.
What happens if Burmeister is accurate in his assessment? If his favored Dog Bone Ridge target does represent the core of the hydrothermal system, then what will he have found? "As such, it represents an attractive high grade epithermal vein-type gold target," Burmeister responded. "The successful interception of high grade gold during the 2004 program confirmed this interpretation."
In 1980, Burmeister founded Bull Run Gold Mines, serving as Chief Executive and developing a successful Nevada gold mine. He arranged the IPO, which led to a NASDAQ National Market listing, and ran the company for eight years.
For thirteen years before that, he was the chief geologist for Silver Standard Resources. Burmeister discovered the Mill Creek orebody in Elko (Nevada), which moved that company forward. The property was subsequently sold to Freeport-McMoran. Burmeister also conceived for Silver Standard of a novel regional exploration program, covering 10,000 square miles in the Yukon over nearly unexplored territory. In a joint-venture with ASARCO, he helped discovery the Minto orebody in the Yukon. The copper-gold deposit is now going into production through Sherwood Copper.
After forty years in the mining industry, he hopes Dog Bone Ridge will add to his string of gold discoveries and corporate success stories.
How To Gold Mining
The New York Stock Exchange indicator for new lows reached an extreme of 1304 on Tuesday the 15th of July. That was even worse than the 1100 new lows reached on the 22nd of January. Such extremes spell one thing P-A-N-I-C.
Whilst it's difficult to infer any far reaching conclusions about one day sell-offs, even panics, the odds now favour a bounce in very oversold equity markets. As for how high and how long the stock market will bounce is anyone's guess, but here again, probabilities favour the market to move higher and longer than anyone expects so that sentiment indicators return to their old complacent Bullish state!
What will work during this period of ‘relative' calm?
We had noticed a very definite flight to safety since market volatility began in October '07.
Firstly, a flight away from common Dow stocks to Gold Mining Stocks because gold is seen as world wide currency which is more secure that worthless paper money. The Dow stocks have slowly been decreasing in value for the past year as gold mining stocks have been increasing in value overall. Gold stocks is were the smart money is moving into.
Within the Gold market this has manifested itself as a flight to bullion and away from Gold Mining Stocks. Yes money had been moving gold stocks higher but the majority of gold investors are buying bullion or the gold bullion etf (actual gold bars) because it currently has lower risk than trading gold mining stocks. So gold bullion and the gold bullion etf's have been out performing the price of gold mining stocks for the past year even thought both Gold and gold stocks have increased in value.
Now that there is a good chance equity markets will stabilize, the above trends will moderate and reverse. This means Junior Gold stocks prices should begin closing the valuation gap and discounting higher earnings based on $900+ Gold.
The remainder of 2008 looks set to be very bullish for Gold Stocks and Gold Stock Juniors in particular!
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Gold Mining Stocks, More commentary and stock picks follow for subscribers…
Both James E. Finch & Chris Vermeulen are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
James E. Finch has sinced written about articles on various topics from Real Estate, Investments and Types of Cancer. James Finch is a senior editor of StockInterview.com and is the Market Journal Outlook Editor. Mr. Finch has been awarded Platinum Author Expert or Expert Author status by more than two dozen article websites. His syndicated features now appear on more th. James E. Finch's top article generates over 2400 views. Bookmark James E. Finch to your Favourites.
Chris Vermeulen has sinced written about articles on various topics from Mobile Phone Reviews, Investments and Jewelry. Chris Vermeulen is a trader and newsletter writer specializing in the price of gold mining stocks, gold ETF, oil stocks, oil etf, silver stocks, Junior Mining and Energy Stocks listed in the US, Canada and Australia. Please visit my website for more infor. Chris Vermeulen's top article generates over 2400 views. Bookmark Chris Vermeulen to your Favourites.
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