Over the past few years, several new ballparks have been built, and although the main purpose behind each was to stimulate baseball tickets sales, we were wondering if where these stadiums were built have anything to do with the team's resulting success. No fewer than a dozen new stadiums have opened in recent years, and today we're going to look at where some of these stadiums were built and whether location was a relevant factor in the team's fortunes.
Examples of New "Urban" Stadiums
Of all the ballparks built most recently, almost all of them could be considered "urban." "Urban" for our purposes means a park that was built in the center of the team's city or is at least easily accessible via public transportation and near the bulk of the workforce. Basically, if walk-up traffic to a game is a possibility, we're considering that stadium urban for our purposes.
By unofficial count, 11 new stadiums were built with these parameters in mind. Looking at the teams that play in these new venues, one can deduct that at least seven of these teams experienced a higher degree of success at least partially as a result of their new homes. These teams are: Detroit, the White Sox, the Indians, the Mariners, the Reds, Houston and San Diego. Four of these teams didn't necessarily improve on the field, but didn't get any worse either: Philadelphia, the Cardinals, the Pirates (they've remained terrible) and the Giants.
What does this tell us? First of all, baseball tickets sales soared at every one of these venues, so in that sense the new ballparks were a success. Secondly, teams that were generally good stayed good, such as the Cardinals, and at several teams got better, including the Tigers, White Sox, Indians, Reds and Padres. None of these teams got any worse immediately after they opened their new ballparks. At first glance, it appears that at least on average, it serves a team well to open a park in their city.
Examples of "Suburban" Stadiums
In recent years, only two teams opened ballparks that could be considered "suburban," those teams being the Brewers and the Rangers. We consider a ballpark "suburban" if it requires a drive to the game, does not sit near any convenient public transportation and is not situated near a large portion of the workforce.
Although neither of these two teams has gotten any worse, neither has gotten appreciably better either. The Brewers were perennial cellar-dwellers before Miller Park opened, and they haven't seriously threatened for a postseason spot since. The Rangers were consistently mediocre before their new park opened, and that's exactly what they've been since. Once again, it doesn't appear that either team got worse, but neither got instantly better either.
What does this mean?
Looking at the overall trends, we can see some patterns beginning to evolve as these new venues are around long enough to provide sufficient tracking of their teams. Our conclusion is that a new urban ballpark is probably a better idea in general than one in the suburbs, but it's not the defining parameter towards a team's success.
Urban stadiums provide more of an opportunity for walk-up traffic, which is the way baseball grew in the first place - people heading home from work and deciding to buy a cheap bleacher ticket to have a beer and watch the game. This leads to more revenue and a long-term opportunity for bigger crowds. Just look at Yankee Stadium and Fenway Park as examples. Suburban stadiums enjoy a boost in attendance initially, but after the thrill of seeing a new park wears off, people are generally less inclined to pack the car and make the drive to the game.
Overall, urban stadiums provide additional revenue, and what really determines a team's success is how that revenue is used. The Tigers and White Sox parlayed more money into better teams, while the Pirates did not.
Our conclusion? Management is still what determines a team's success, but these management teams are much more likely to succeed if they know their seats will be filled every night as opposed to wondering how tightly attendance is going to be bound to the team's record. People may stop by a stadium on their way home from work even if the team isn't having a great year, but they won't make a day-long project out of seeing a team that's not winning out in the suburbs.
Basically, urban stadiums, with their ability to sell more baseball tickets on a regular basis, make it easier for good management teams to succeed, which is why the Pirates may actually have a better chance of improving in coming years than the Brewers - the fans will be there with more regularity.
All Star Game Baseball Tickets
Baseball tickets in the NL East may as well be reclassified as "coronation" tickets, as the Mets have the biggest lead in the majors by far in any division. Given that the NL East is already decided, we'll take a look at how each team got here and what they can look forward to both this year and next.
New York Mets
Currently:
The Mets are cruising along in the standings, and they went a solid 17-10 over the past 30 days. They are clearly the best team in the division, and if they don't win the division this year, it'll be the biggest story in the history of sports. They're led by many, but Carlos Beltran is leading the way on offense.
Outlook:
The Mets need to get their pitching healthy and to get primed for the playoffs; otherwise they could actually be a bit vulnerable in the first round if they're not ready to go.
Philadelphia Phillies
Currently:
Although the Phillies played better over the past month, it's a classic case of too little, too late, even after going 17-12 over the past 30 days. The Phillies have some exciting young players on their roster, though, including Ryan Howard and Chase Utley, and that bodes well for the future.
Outlook:
The Phillies are built for the long haul, and they'll be back next year.
Atlanta Braves
Currently:
It appeared for a short time that the Braves could somehow climb back into the race for the postseason after an awful start. However, it appears that their incredible postseason streak is going to end this season. The Braves fell back a bit, going 13-14 over the past month, and there's way too much ground to make up for them to be a threat this season. Their nucleus is intact, though, with Andruw and Chipper Jones and Edgar Renteria.
Outlook:
The Braves always seem to have young players ready to step up, so they'll be back in 2007.
Florida Marlins
Currently:
The Marlins are a good-looking young team, and given their youth, they're bound to struggle from time to time. They won half of their games over the past month, but that isn't nearly enough to stay competitive in this division. However, players like Miguel Cabrera are worth the effort of obtaining baseball tickets, and this team won't be easy to beat for the rest of 2006.
Outlook:
The Marlins seem to win it all and then rebuild, so their rebuilding will continue in 2007. Watch out, though, as they'll mature right before our eyes and challenge for big things soon enough.
Washington Nationals
Currently:
The Nationals had a halfway-decent month, going 13-14, but this young team is a long way from contending. They have one superstar in Alfonso Soriano, and since they chose not to trade him at the deadline, they'd better get busy building around him, as he is a franchise player.
Outlook:
If the Nationals add a piece or two to their young roster, baseball tickets will continue to sell well in Washington, D.C.
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