Speaking in Guildford, Sir John Gieve, deputy governor for the Bank of England, claimed that such a move would be needed by the monetary policy committee to help curb "spectacular growth" in borrowing for buyout and private equity deals which could cause the British economy to crash. As a result of any rise to the base rate, consumers could well find their monthly secured loan repayments increasing. Property would also be set to become more unaffordable for prospective first-time buyers.
Sir John said: "House price inflation in London has outstripped the rest of the UK with prices in the smartest areas of Kensington and Chelsea climbing by 40 per cent since the start of 2005." Meanwhile, he reported commercial property prices in the City are twice as expensive as those in Paris and New York. He claimed that if such growth in house prices and borrowing continues, the country will be at greater risk of financial downturn.
The deputy governor pointed to the current sub-prime lending crisis taking place in the United States as an example of what can happen if an economic cycle changes direction suddenly. The collapse in the dotcom boom was illustrated as a previous case in point. "As London strengthens its position in financial markets, the cycle in international finance will have direct effects not just through shifts in interest rates and asset prices but through jobs and pay," he added.
Sir John also claimed that he had voted for interest rates to rise four times in MPC meetings this year due to increased uptake of consumer credit such as personal loans and a relaxation of lending criteria on the behalf of banks. Despite these claims he warned against increasing the base rate unnecessarily - a move which could further inhibit secured loan uptake. "We may increase interest rates too fast or push them up too far, with an unnecessary loss of growth," he pointed out.
Last week, chief economist for New Star Asset Management, Simon Ward, claimed that the decision to maintain the base rate at 5.5 per cent for June was a missed opportunity by the MPC. He said: "The baby-step approach risks allowing an inflationary psychology to take hold, implying a higher eventual peak for interest rates." Mr Ward suggested that such a rise was "needed" to curb increasing house prices, which consequently impact upon homeowners' ability to pay off secured loan.
Meanwhile, the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) claimed that interest rates are set to reach 5.75 per cent before settling back to 5.5 per cent towards the end of this year. Chief economic adviser Ian McCafferty reported that a "further interest rate rise now seems more likely than not this autumn" as consumer spending growth is set to ease to 2.1 per cent by 2008.
Rising food costs and "higher than expected import prices" were also reported to lead to increased inflation costs. However, he claimed that the CBI "does not see the need" for the base rats to go beyond the six per cent barrier.
Finance House Base Rate
The news comes as figures released by Spicerhaart Financial Services revealed a growth in the number of consumers opting to take out a variable-rate mortgage over the course of last month. During July, the number of homeowners opting for such a product increased to 14 per cent - the highest proportion noted since October 2006. Although the Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) chose to increase the base rate for the fifth time in the last year (now standing at 5.75 per cent) in a move putting further pressure on homeowners' finances, Britons are reported to believe this will fall in the coming months.
Steve Cox, operations director of the financial services firm, said: "The increasing proportion of variable mortgages indicates that borrowers are starting to believe that interest rates have finally peaked, as inflation stabilises and are likely to come back down again before the end of the year. With interest rates still historically low, homeowners and first-time buyers, still confident in their financial security, are as keen as ever to move up the property ladder, even if this means borrowing slightly more."
Research from the company also showed that fixed-rate products continue to be the most popular option among secured loans consumers, as this accounted for some 86 per cent of all mortgages borrowed last month. However, uptake of short-term deals was revealed to have fallen. Offers lasting for two years were made up 55 per cent of all borrowing in July, down from the 60 per cent noted in June. Meanwhile, contracts for fixed-rates lasting three years and four years or more were reported to have remained consistent at 13 and 18 per cent respectively.
"Perhaps surprisingly, shorter-term fixed-rates saw a slight slip in popularity last month. However, the majority of consumers are still opting for fixed-rate deals to protect themselves against further rate rises," he added.
Out of the market, tracker deals (which follow moves to the base rate carried out by the MPC) were said to account for 11 per cent of mortgages taken out by borrowers during the month. Some 1.7 per cent of consumers opted for a discount contract as a further 1.3 per cent chose other types of variable-rate products.
Findings from Spicerhaart additionally indicated that the proportion of high loan-to-value mortgages increased for the sixth successive month as it reached a peak of 21 per cent. Consumer confidence was also shown to be lifting as the level of first-time buyers rose slightly to make up 37 per cent of all those purchasing a property.
However, Mortgage Financial representative Paul Davies warned prospective first-time buyers to ensure that they will be able to afford repayments when looking to purchase a home. With "the way interest rates have been going up over the last 18 months or so", Mr Davies also urged young professionals to make certain that their salary will be able to cope with potentially increasing mortgage costs in the future. Findings from the company also showed that such consumers are tending to choose fixed-rate products and are getting larger secured loans than average buyers in a bid into the housing market.
Both Abbi Rouse & Tom Dawson are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Abbi Rouse has sinced written about articles on various topics from Personal Finance, Careers and Job Hunting and Diabetes Treatment. Abbi Rouse is the Editor in Chief for Essentially Home Loans where visitors can apply forcheap loans online. We also specialise in. Abbi Rouse's top article generates over 49500 views. Bookmark Abbi Rouse to your Favourites.
Tom Dawson has sinced written about articles on various topics from Personal Finance, Parenting and Personal Finance. Tom Dawson is the Editor in Chief for Essentially Home Loans where visitors can apply forcheap loans online. We also specialise in. Tom Dawson's top article generates over 74000 views. Bookmark Tom Dawson to your Favourites.
Client Server Based Application How much better could you present at a clients office, if the screen looked just like the one at your desk!