There are some red flags that should be easy to spot that will help you to protect your forex account when you are trading third party signals. Many of the traders available as third party signal providers look good for a few weeks, or even months, but are really just ticking time bombs. You don't want to be around when the timer stops.
This article is intended to highlight a few things to look for and avoid when sorting through all of the third party signal providers out there. It is in no way intended to cover every problem that traders may or may not have. Now, what to look for:
Trading Without Stops
Any trader who trades without stops should be avoided. Even if the trader is good, there are facts that cannot be control. There is always the chance of a power outage or internet connection failure that will leave your trade unmonitored and unprotected. News can move the market fast and far and there isn't always time to get out of the way if it is unexpected or not in your favor. Trading without stop is the first thing that any trader learns not to do. Avoid this trader at all costs.
Disproportionate Win/Loss Sizes
Some traders get excited and pull profits off of the table far too early. Generally this is a much better idea when your trade is a loser. You want to cut your losses short and let your winners run. This should cause your winners to be bigger than your losers. Any trader who regularly takes 10 pips of profits and has 200 pip losers on his books is no one that you want trading your account.
New Accounts
These are not actually red flag traders but you should still avoid them. Any trader with only a few weeks worth of records should not be traded on a live account. You can absolutely run them on a demo for a month and take a look at the results, but if the trader is worth trading, they will still be there in 6 months. And by then you'll have a much better idea of who you're dealing with. Another thing to look for is whether a trader has made the same trade over and over that is the bulk of his trades. That is to say if the trader has 100 winning trades and they are all long the GBP/JPY, this trader hasn't shown you anything yet. They simply found a trend and continue to jump on and off of it.
Huge Gains After A Draw Down
Traders who have abnormally big winners at the end of a sizable draw down have usually given up and are taking one last shot. Their account recovers and to the untrained eye it looks like a solid winning trader. For every 10 traders that try this maybe 2 will survive and bounce back. This means that those 2 are floating around waiting for you. When they have their next draw down they will likely try the same "hail mary" play and the results may not be so favorable. Don't let someone trade your money on a wing and a prayer.
There are obviously many more tell tale signs that a trader should be avoided and this article is only intended to get you started.
Free Forex Signal Software
When you're looking for a third party signal provider, one of the first things that you need to look at is their maximum draw down. This is the maximum amount lost between an extreme peak and an extreme valley. This number also includes open positions but does not take into account margin required to keep you out of a margin call. Inevitably the question comes: How much draw down is too much? The answer is like many trading questions. It depends. There are a lot of factors that come into play when answering this question. Obviously a person with a 50k account could tolerate more draw down than a person with a 5k account. Another person with a 1k account could withstand even less. So aside from your account size, what else do we have to think about?
Another thing to look at aside from the actual number is how that number came to be. If a trader has a draw down that is too high for you to tolerate but otherwise seems to trade well, you should look at how many positions he opens at a time. If that trader opens 5 trades on any given pair at a time you can instantly cut their historical draw down by 5. Limiting the # of open trades for a trader could drastically reduce the overall draw down.
Sometimes you will find a trader who has a great track record aside from one major meltdown where a single trade ran out of control for days unchecked. This will produce an abnormal draw down in relation to the traders real ability. He may be the kind of guy who can't recognize when a trade has no chance of coming back to even. He may also be a guy who lost his internet connection at an inopportune time once or twice. Either way you can keep this trader from doing this to your account by setting your own stops for him. Just make sure that you only stop out his trades that are well out of a realistic trading range.
Now that we're half way down the page lets revisit our original question. After doing anything and everything you can to limit draw down, I would say that anything over 35% of your entire account equity is just too much. Once you start to get into a situation where you are losing 50% or more it is very tough to ever recover without taking extreme risks. If you lose 50% you need to make 100% just to get back to even.
When considering draw down you should also look at how much history is available on that trader. If he only has 3 weeks of history than chances are that his largest draw down is yet to come. If he has 50 or 100 weeks of history he has probably already hit some rough patches and you can get a better idea of how rough the rough patches are for that particular trader.
Also remember to constantly monitor your traders on both a live and demo account. If their draw down gets out of hand it may be time to reevaluate or completely remove that trader from your portfolio.
Tk Kearns has sinced written about articles on various topics from Forex Guide, Forex Software and Forex Guide. To learn more about 3rd party signal providers visit. Tk Kearns's top article generates over 1900 views. Bookmark Tk Kearns to your Favourites.
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