In practice, there have always been two clearly separate strategies for taking advantage of China's 1.3 billion people - (1) to use China's low labor costs to produce cheaply and then export to more affluent markets for a higher mark-up, and (2) to sell products to Chinese people. There is no debate over the fact that up until now, strategy (1) has worked better – over most of the last 25 years the average Chinese consumer hasn't had enough disposable income to buy Western products in any significant quantities. But all that is changing. China's emerging middle class is now estimated to be larger than the entire population of the United States (although their purchasing power is nowhere near that of the American middle class). So are foreign investors raking in their long dreamed-of windfall products by selling their products to the middle class? Well, not exactly…
Information on corporate profits broken down for affiliates in China is surprisingly hard to come by, and thus opinions are divided on this issue. While almost everyone in the know agrees that corporate profits from China operations have been on the upswing in recent years, the pessimists insist that overall profitability lags far behind that of some of America's less-acclaimed trading partners like Mexico, and even further behind if you measure on a per capita basis rather than total population. The optimists (using different sources of data) maintain that profitability in China has been consistently high and point out that the proper comparison between the profitability of investments in different nations is not between China's 1.3 billion people and the population of some smaller trading partner, but between the amount of investment in each country – the US, for example, has invested nearly twice as much money in Mexico as it has in China. Both sides agree on two things, though: (1) foreign investment in China (particularly from the US) is not nearly as much as has been supposed, and (2) corporate profits in China look to increase over the near to medium term due to the increase in disposable income among China's middle class.
In light of this, what would a good strategy be for a prospective foreign investor? The current conventional wisdom seems to be to hedge your bets – produce partly for export and partly for the domestic market, leaving some flexibility in your plans to allow for the unexpected. It would also be a good idea to factor in the likelihood that sales in the China market are likely to increase over time. Of course, that's what people have been saying for the last 25 years, but there is a growing chorus of voices predicting that now it's different, that the timing is right, that the China profit train is poised to finally take off. I for one believe them.
In China For China
Many small and medium sized enterprises in western countries are caught between the proverbial “rock and a hard place”. Economic pressures at home are forcing them to consider setting up in or at least sourcing from China, yet the Chinese market gets tougher and tougher to crack every year, in part because so many of their competitors are already there. Following are some strategies for squeezing your SME through.
Partner up with a Chinese company (or companies): Chinese companies willing to form partnerships or joint ventures with western companies are plentiful, and the (Chinese) woods are thick with local investment consultants who are both fully bilingual and hip to local conditions. However, although a reputable China investment consultant might be able to find you a trustworthy Chinese partner, the fun is only just beginning. Differences in management philosophy, financial resources, and understanding of local conditions often combine with communications difficulties (not all of them linguistic) to make these kinds of arrangements a frustrating experience for all concerned. There have been successes, of course, but in general the popularity among foreign investors of partnering with Chinese companies has waned significantly in recent years.
Strength in Numbers: Since there are a lot of other SMEs in the same situation as you, it would not be wise to simply write them off as competitors. Taking advantage of an existing trade association (or forming your own) to share resources, labor, and market intelligence can help your SME in several ways. First, negotiating as a group gives you bargaining power to secure concessions that would otherwise be unavailable. Second, your trade association could pool funds to set up a representative office in China that would act as a sourcing center that would provide its members with a list of pre-qualified local suppliers with whom discounted pricing has already been negotiated. It could also perform market research and negotiate distribution networks for the benefit of its members who hope to sell their products in China. Finally, your trade association could partner with a Chinese industrial park to set up shared facilities available to all of its members, including management and infrastructure. Although you would need to formally establish a Chinese company in order to perform income-generating activities on Chinese soil, there is no particular reason why a group of SME couldn't jointly invest and establish a wholly foreign-owned enterprise in China that would bypass the need for local suppliers by producing its own products with local labor.
The foregoing is just a taste of the various possibilities available for taking advantage of China's low labor costs and its large domestic market. Think creatively and you may be writing the sequel to this article yourself.
David Carnes has sinced written about articles on various topics from Education Toys, Legal Matters and Computers and The Internet. David A. Carnes is a California attorney currently working as a legal advisor for California Industrial City (Zhengzhou) Development Co., Ltd. in Zhengzhou, China. His website is. David Carnes's top article generates over 49500 views. Bookmark David Carnes to your Favourites.
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