Take a look at the graph below. It's a long-term graph of Price to Earnings (P/E) ratios. P/E ratios are used to gauge whether shares look expensive or cheap by comparing prices to earnings. The theory is that you shouldn't mind paying higher prices as long as you also get higher earnings or profit.
The longer term average P/E ratio for the market is 16.
This graph is the P/E ratio for the All Ordinaries Index from 1972-2009.
You can see that the sharemarket is the cheapest that it has been in decades. If we had a recovery like the one that took place in the 1980s to a conservative P/E ratio of 12 that would mean there'd be a gain of more than 35%. A recovery back to the long-term average of 16 would be a gain of more than 80%.
The truth is that if you believe that the Australian economy will continue to grow, then profits will also come back to growth and we will see more normal prices.
Opportunity of a lifetime
The reason that this is being called the opportunity of a lifetime is because we haven't seen an opportunity like this in almost 30 years and we may have to wait another 30 to see another opportunity quite like it.
Best bargains
So if you are a bargain hunter, the question is: where are the biggest bargains on the market?
The three cheapest sectors are:
* Utilities
* Industrials and
* Energy.
All of these sectors have an average P/E ratio of just more than 5 times.
Most expensive
The three most expensive sectors by far are:
* Property
* Healthcare followed by
* Consumer staples.
Sectors and P/E ratios
Here are all the sectors and the P/E ratios as of the 31st March 2009.
Sector P/E ratio Sector P/E ratio
Utilities 5.1 Materials 10
Industrials 5.1 Telecom 11.7
Energy 5.4 Info Tech 13.3
Financials ex. REIT 7.8 Staples 17.4
Financials 8 Healthcare 20.7
Discretionary 8.3 Property 63.4
The bottom line
So there it is: the market is looking cheaper than it has in about 30 years. I'm more comfortable investing now then I was a couple of years ago.
Remember, keeping a business mind when the market seems illogical can be great for your bottom line!
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Julia Lee has sinced written about articles on various topics from Investments. Julia Lee is an Equities Analyst for online share trading platform Bell Direct. Julia provides information on. Julia Lee's top article generates over 1000 views. Bookmark Julia Lee to your Favourites.
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