For many businesses, a severe contraction in the economy seems a "black swan" event... an economic crisis so extraordinary as to prove almost un-manageable. But, in fact, recessions and depressions occur regularly. And experienced entrepreneurs know to employ tried and true tactics to sail through the rough times.
Focus on Survival is Tactic #1
A first point. In a bad recession or a depression, your overriding objective may not be to grow your profitibility. Sure. Some firms even in a contraction do grow revenues or profits. But for many firms, surviving and staying healthy through the contraction represents the big objective.
That sounds obvious. But if your firm simply gets through this economic tunnel with its business model, balance sheet and brand intact, you'll have done a better job managing through the downturn than all of the investment and mortgage bankers, most home builders, and at least two of the American auto manufacturers.
And this is pretty significant. When the economy regains some health in, say, 2011, you'll be ready to restart growth and return to appropriate levels of profitability.
Tactic #2 is Stay Alert for Crisis-related Threats
A contraction comes with its own threats and problems. Competitors will flail and some will fail--very possibly screwing up your market in the process. Key customers and vendors may get into trouble. Probably, key employees and owners will, too. You want therefore to stay watchful for these risks and problems.
One helpful approach for starting to think about new threats to your firm is SWOT analysis. The acronym SWOT stands for "Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats." By brainstorming about new, crisis-related strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats all at one time, you'll typically find objectivity and thorough thinking easier.
SWOT analysis doesn't have to be fancy. Don't worry about the form of your SWOT planning--a sheet of paper, a notebook or a whiteboard all work just fine.
If you can't get yourself into the right frame of mind for performing this sort of analysis, consider reading a book like, "The Great Depression: America 1929-1941" by Robert Mcelvaine.
Tactic #3: Watch Out for the Big Bargains
Almost surely, you'll be presented with unusually attractive bargains during a contraction: wonderfully talented people needing employment, landlords willing to get creative about leases, vendors happy to offer great deals, and so forth.
Search out these sorts of bargains. Not too terribly far in the future, some businesses with hindsight will kick themselves for the great deals they passed on.
Gird for the Long Haul is Tactic #4
For many middle-aged and older business owners and managers, the systemic financial crisis that triggered this contraction means retirement savings have been halved. That sucks, obviously. And a period of denial, anger and grief is understandable.
Once one is prepared to accept the new financial realty, one should calculate what the decimated retirement savings means. For many business owners, the decimation means working an extra decade. Be sure therefore to factor into your business planning the extra years you'll personally need to work.
Writing A Small Business Plan
Not every business needs a 200 page bound business plan. However every business needs to have some idea of where they want to go and how they are going to get there. This article covers some key insights into writing a business plan that get your business to where you want to be.
The first stage of any plan is ANALYSIS. You need to take a very objective look at a number of factors that may impact your business. There are many factors to consider but the two major ones are competition and your operating environment.
Let's look first at competition. Every business has competition, even if you think your product or service is unique. How is this? Well it's quite simple really, people have choices to make. The most fundamental choice they make in most cases is whether to buy what you offer or but something else. For example I could buy a game console or I could buy groceries instead. Customers only have so much money available so you first task is to ask yourself what is my competition like and can I beat them? The more you understand your competition the more you can develop your business strategy of being different and outperforming them.
Now let's look at operating environment. This understands what factors around your area of operation are likely to affect your business performance. For some companies this includes looking around the World in other cases it's just your local neighborhood. You need to ask questions such as:
How is the economy going?
What is consumer confidence like?
Where is technology heading in my industry?
After answering all the questions you need to decide how these might negatively or positively influence your performance.
Now you know more about your competition and operating environment it's time to set some OBJECTIVES. This is what you want to achieve in the period your business plan covers. It is said that good objectives are SMART. That is specific, measurable, achievable, realistic and targeted. Here's an example of a SMART objective for a hypothetical business.
?By the end of this year we will have increased sales of product X by 7.5% over the previous year.?
You can see how clear this objective is. It is much easier to achieve high performance with clear objectives.
Now you need to outline your STRATEGY. How are you going to reach you objective(s)? This is where your marketing plan often comes in as it helps describe the programs you will run to achieve your desired objective(s). To continue the example above our strategy may be to gain distribution for our product in one new major retail chain.
To make your strategy work you must then allocate appropriate RESOURCES. Certain things will need to be provided to reach your goal. This could be dollars, people, equipment, etc. Your plan must have included the resources you are allocating and why you believe this is adequate to get the result.
Every business plans also has some PROJECTIONS. This is your basic financials that you plan will deliver. Are you expecting a profit or loss? How much?
Lastly you need to allow for CONTINGENCIES. Things change all the time and your plan needs to consider these possibilities in advance. A good way to do this is to ask What if?
What if a new competitor enters our market?
What if a distributor delists our product?
What if interest rates rise?
Your analysis should give you some idea of likely contingencies. It saves a lot of stress if you have some documented ideas for dealing with them before they become a big problem.
Writing a business plan is never perfect, the plan is on paper and you're operating in the real world. However a good plan can really guide you in the right direction. Take time to put real thought into preparing your plan an above all make sure you USE YOUR PLAN!
Both Stephen Nelson & Honit are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Stephen Nelson has sinced written about articles on various topics from Finances, Setting Up Company and Tax Deductions. Seattle CPA Stephen L. Nelson provides accountancy and business consulting services to businesses and their owners. The author of several books about business planning, Nelson also publishes the. Stephen Nelson's top article generates over 90500 views. Bookmark Stephen Nelson to your Favourites.
Honit has sinced written about articles on various topics from Business Plan. For More Free Resources visit www.oversightsystem.com. Honit's top article generates over 880 views. Bookmark Honit to your Favourites.
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